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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huddersfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Huddersfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
| 38.36% | 27.77% | 33.87% |
| Both teams to score 48.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.47% | 57.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% | 78.32% |
| Huddersfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% | 29.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% | 64.98% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% | 31.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% | 68.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Huddersfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.86% |