Derby County vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 35.95%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.