Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Sep 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 2
Reading

Shinnie (37'), Sibley (45+2'), Byrne (47')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Joao (40'), Ejaria (45+1')
Olise (64'), Richards (90+3')

Reaction

Derby County manager Phillip Cocu pictured

Phillip Cocu unhappy with 'unacceptable' Derby display

Phillip Cocu described the result as a 'big disappointment'.

Sep 12, 18:43

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Lucas Joao and Ovie Eljaria secured victory for the new Royals boss at Pride Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Derby County and Reading, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Reading
41.38%	25.61%	33.01%

Both teams to score 54.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01%

48.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93%

71.07%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51%

23.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49%

57.51%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81%

28.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12%

63.87%

Score Analysis

Derby County 41.38%

Reading 33.01%

Draw 25.61%

Derby County	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.38%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.01%