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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 38.73% | 26.13% | 35.13% |
| Both teams to score 53.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% | 50.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% | 72.73% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% | 25.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% | 60.62% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% | 27.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% | 63.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.13% |