Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

Jul 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 3
Derby

Sunjic (56')
(90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')

Reaction

Jude Bellingham in action for Birmingham City on July 1, 2020

Steve Spooner: 'Sky is the limit for Jude Bellingham'

Birmingham's Dortmund-bound youngster has played his last game for the St Andrew's club.

Jul 22, 23:48

The Match

Match Report

Jude Bellingham played his last game for the Blues.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Derby County
38.74%	25.61%	35.64%

Both teams to score 55.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47%

48.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34%

70.65%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36%

24.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85%

59.15%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64%

26.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49%

61.51%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 38.74%

Derby County 35.64%

Draw 25.61%

Birmingham City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.64%