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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 47.92% | 25.96% | 26.12% |
| Both teams to score 49.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% | 53.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% | 75.16% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% | 22.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.08% | 55.92% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% | 35.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.12% |