Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Jul 15, 2020 at 5pm UK

Griffin Park

Brentford
1 - 0
Preston

Watkins (4')
Benrahma (63'), Watkins (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rafferty (53')

Reaction

Ollie Watkins in action for Brentford on January 11, 2020

Thomas Frank lavishes praise on "amazing" Ollie Watkins

Watkins scored his 25th goal of the season to earn the Bees victory.

Jul 15, 19:17

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins scored the only goal of the game in the early stages.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship game between Brentford and Preston North End, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brentford in this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Preston North End
58.44%	23.51%	18.05%

Both teams to score 46.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58%

52.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9%

74.1%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31%

17.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.68%

48.32%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.02%

42.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.73%

79.27%

Score Analysis

Brentford 58.43%

Preston North End 18.05%

Draw 23.51%

Brentford	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 13.16% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 5.56% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 58.43%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.51%	0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.05%