Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Jul 7, 2020 at 6pm UK

Griffin Park

Brentford
2 - 1
Charlton

Benrahma (75' pen.), Pinnock (85')
Dervisoglu (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bonne (8')
Cullen (90')

Reaction

Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on July 7, 2020

Thomas Frank talks up importance of "massive win" over Charlton

Brentford needed late goals from Said Benrahma and Ethan Pinnock to edge past the Addicks and crank up the pressure on second-placed West Brom.

Jul 7, 22:06

The Match

Match Report

The Bees sit two points behind second-placed West Brom with four games remaining.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship fixture between Brentford and Charlton Athletic, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Charlton Athletic
66.19%	20.23%	13.58%

Both teams to score 47.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99%

47.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75%

69.25%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.67%

13.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.8%

40.2%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.27%

45.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.49%

81.51%

Score Analysis

Brentford 66.17%

Charlton Athletic 13.58%

Draw 20.23%

Brentford	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-0 @ 12.37% 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 6.51% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.72% Total : 66.17%	1-1 @ 9.61% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.23%	0-1 @ 4.77% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 0.99% 1-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.58%