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Championship | Gameweek 43
Jul 11, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Brentford logo

Derby
1 - 3
Brentford

Knight (29')
Knight (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (3'), Benrahma (49', 64')

The Match

Match Report

Said Benrahma scored twice for Brentford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Brentford, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBrentford
25.06%24.01%50.93%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48%46.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2%68.79%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34%32.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79%69.2%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64%49.36%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 25.06%
    Brentford 50.92%
    Draw 24.01%
Derby CountyDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 6.68%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 3.74%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.06%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-2 @ 8.62%
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 2.07%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.92%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Brentford
3-0
Derby
Mbeumo (17'), Watkins (18', 45')

Waghorn (45'), Lawrence (84')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Brentford
3-3
Derby
Jeanvier (23'), Maupay (31'), Benrahma (83')
Dalsgaard (15'), Henry (50'), Canos (92')
Wilson (13', 78'), Bogle (26')
Bogle (19'), Johnson (22'), Cole (49'), Lawrence (69'), Tomori (92')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-1
Brentford
Wilson (14'), Nugent (21'), Mount (28')
Bryson (64'), Mount (80')
Dalsgaard (1')
Mepham (27')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Derby
3-0
Brentford
Huddlestone (31'), Jerome (34'), Vydra (90' pen.)
Jerome (63'), Olsson (90')

Woods (37'), Bjelland (71')
Canos (21')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Brentford
1-1
Derby
Watkins (86')
Woods (30'), Dalsgaard (36'), Watkins (45')
Ledley (15')
Forsyth (25'), Wisdom (30'), Johnson (30'), Winnall (37'), Keogh (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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