Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Jul 11, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 3
Brentford

Knight (29')
Knight (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Watkins (3'), Benrahma (49', 64')

Reaction

Derby County manager Phillip Cocu pictured

Phillip Cocu refuses to blame Ben Hamer for loss at Brentford

Said Benrahma scored twice for Brentford as they continued their fine run.

Jul 11, 15:52

The Match

Match Report

Said Benrahma scored twice for Brentford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Brentford, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Brentford
25.06%	24.01%	50.93%

Both teams to score 55.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48%

46.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2%

68.79%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.34%

32.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79%

69.2%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71%

18.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64%

49.36%

Score Analysis

Derby County 25.06%

Brentford 50.92%

Draw 24.01%

Derby County	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 6.68% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.06%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.92%