Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Jun 27, 2020 at 1pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 1
Reading

Lawrence (44'), Rooney (45+2' pen.)
Lawrence (13'), Shinnie (74'), Holmes (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rinomhota (62')

Reaction

Derby's Tom Lawrence and Reading's Matt Miazga clash on June 27, 2020

Managers criticise Tom Lawrence, Matt Miazga for letting teams down

The pair were dismissed after the final whistle at Pride Park.

Jun 27, 16:03

The Match

Match Report

The Rams have won their last four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Reading
49.62%	25.67%	24.71%

Both teams to score 49.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45%

53.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94%

75.06%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39%

21.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29%

54.71%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22%

36.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43%

73.57%

Score Analysis

Derby County 49.61%

Reading 24.71%

Draw 25.66%

Derby County	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.61%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.71%