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Championship | Gameweek 39
Jun 27, 2020 at 1pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Reading logo

Derby
2 - 1
Reading

Lawrence (44'), Rooney (45+2' pen.)
Lawrence (13'), Shinnie (74'), Holmes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rinomhota (62')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams have won their last four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawReading
49.62%25.67%24.71%
Both teams to score 49.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45%53.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94%75.06%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29%54.71%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Reading 24.71%
    Draw 25.66%
Derby CountyDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Reading
3-0
Derby
Adam (5' pen.), Joao (58'), Meite (87' pen.)
Adam (62'), Blackett (82')

Lawrence (36'), Knight (55'), Lowe (60'), Holmes (74'), Bogle (80'), Sibley (82'), Forsyth (86')
Malone (4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Derby
2-1
Reading
Holmes (3'), Wilson (40')
Malone (69'), Holmes (81')
Aluko (66')
Ejaria (65')
Aug 3, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 1
Reading
1-2
Derby
Dadi Bodvarsson (52')
Meyler (37'), Kelly (38'), Meite (88')
Mount (60'), Lawrence (90')
Wisdom (22'), Bryson (43'), Lowe (46'), Johnson (88')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Reading
3-3
Derby
Kelly (16'), Barrow (32'), Dadi Bodvarsson (80')
Richards (49'), Moore (83')
Palmer (6'), Keogh (35'), Lawrence (46')
Olsson (20'), Palmer (50'), Keogh (83'), Weimann (83'), Carson (86')
Baird (85')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Derby
2-4
Reading
Russell (71'), Martin (90')
Winnall (23'), Nugent (60'), Johnson (81'), Martin (84')
Moore (9'), Aluko (13'), Beerens (54'), Barrow (75')
Gunter (32'), Barrow (67'), Mannone (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton42259884543084
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston43189165660-463
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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