Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Jul 8, 2020 at 5pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
2 - 0
Derby

Diangana (11'), O'Shea (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shinnie (24'), Whittaker (45+4'), Knight (73'), Bogle (88')
Sibley (90+1')

Reaction

West Brom manager Slaven Bilic on June 20, 2020

Slaven Bilic hails West Bromwich Albion players for key win over Derby County

Grady Diangana and Dara O'Shea scored in the win over Derby.

Jul 8, 19:09

The Match

Match Report

West Brom are two points clear of Leeds at the top of the Sky Bet Championship.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Derby County
56.1%	22.49%	21.41%

Both teams to score 55.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.3%

43.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.91%

66.09%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59%

15.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.78%

44.23%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65%

34.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95%

71.05%

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 56.1%

Derby County 21.41%

Draw 22.48%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.1%	1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 5.29% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48%	0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.41%