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Championship | Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
The Hawthorns
Derby logo

West Brom
2 - 0
Derby

Diangana (11'), O'Shea (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shinnie (24'), Whittaker (45+4'), Knight (73'), Bogle (88')

The Match

Match Report

West Brom are two points clear of Leeds at the top of the Sky Bet Championship.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawDerby County
56.1%22.49%21.41%
Both teams to score 55.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.3%43.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.91%66.09%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.78%44.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65%34.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95%71.05%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 56.1%
    Derby County 21.41%
    Draw 22.48%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.26%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 56.1%
1-1 @ 10.57%
0-0 @ 5.29%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.66%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.41%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
1-4
Derby
Rodriguez (83')
Dawson (25')
Marriott (10'), Lawrence (15'), Wilson (51'), Malone (71')
Huddlestone (44'), Malone (72')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Third Round
West Brom
1-2
Derby
Phillips (35')
Morrison (53')
Bent (51'), Ince (54')
Johnson (92'), Ince (95')
Jul 27, 2013 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Derby
0-2
West Brom
Dorrans (39'), Rosenberg (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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