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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 55.11% | 24.91% | 19.98% |
| Both teams to score 46.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.78% | 55.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% | 76.45% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% | 52.19% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.6% | 42.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.22% | 78.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.06% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.98% |