Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Jul 18, 2020 at 3pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
4 - 3
Reading

Brereton (3'), Armstrong (6'), Rothwell (56'), Gallagher (87')
Davenport (71')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Swift (15'), Baldock (64'), Meite (68')

Reaction

Blackburn Rovers boss Tony Mowbray on June 20, 2020

Tony Mowbray "so happy" for match-winner Sam Gallagher

Gallagher's sixth goal of the season was the winner.

Jul 18, 17:29

The Match

Match Report

Gallagher's late header then proved decisive as Blackburn exceeded last season's points total.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship game between Blackburn Rovers and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Reading
38.34%	26.9%	34.76%

Both teams to score 51.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.94%

54.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52%

75.48%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58%

27.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1%

62.89%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44%

29.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41%

65.58%

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 38.33%

Reading 34.76%

Draw 26.9%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.33%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.76%