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EFL Cup

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EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 12pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Barrow

Derby
0 - 0
Barrow

FT

Brown (44'), Jones (72')
Derby win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

The game finished 0-0 after 90 minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBarrow
52.24%23.15%24.61%
Both teams to score 57.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9%43.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5%65.5%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47%16.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72%46.28%
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82%31.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48%67.52%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 52.24%
    Barrow 24.61%
    Draw 23.14%
Derby CountyDrawBarrow
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.24%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-1 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.61%

rhs 2.0


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