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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Derby County |
35.25% | 26.52% | 38.22% |
Both teams to score 52.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.56% | 52.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.88% | 74.12% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% | 28.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% | 64.23% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% | 26.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% | 61.99% |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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