Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 1
Derby

Buendia (44'), Zimmermann (54'), Rupp (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rooney (87')
Shinnie (79'), Knight (79')

Reaction

Derby County manager Phillip Cocu pictured

Phillip Cocu delighted with performance against Norwich City

Wayne Rooney struck a fine free-kick at Carrow Road.

Oct 3, 15:07

The Match

Match Report

The former England captain curled in a fine free-kick.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Norwich City and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Derby County
35.25%	26.52%	38.22%

Both teams to score 52.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.56%

52.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.88%

74.12%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53%

28.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77%

64.23%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01%

61.99%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 35.26%

Derby County 38.22%

Draw 26.52%

Norwich City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.26%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.22%