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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Watford |
| 30.83% | 27.97% | 41.21% |
| Both teams to score 46.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.14% | 58.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% | 79.36% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% | 34.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% | 71.44% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% | 28.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% | 63.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.2% |