Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Oct 28, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Cardiff

Waghorn (24')
Jozwiak (82'), Shinnie (86'), te Wierik (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moore (77')
Morrison (82'), Ojo (90+1'), Bacuna (90+3')

Reaction

Derby County manager Phillip Cocu pictured on October 20, 2020

Phillip Cocu: 'We must be more clinical in final third'

County have only scored four goals all season.

Oct 28, 23:59

The Match

Match Report

Kieffer Moore strikes to snatch Cardiff point at Derby

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Cardiff City, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Cardiff City
31.19%	26.89%	41.92%

Both teams to score 50.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24%

54.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93%

76.07%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7%

32.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2%

68.8%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21%

25.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.26%

60.74%

Score Analysis

Derby County 31.19%

Cardiff City 41.91%

Draw 26.88%

Derby County	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.19%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.91%