Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 1
West Ham

Cash (57'), Kamara (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fornals (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 1-4 Aston Villa
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Southampton	4	-3	4
15	Aston Villa	3	-3	3
16	Bournemouth	4	-14	3

West Ham United

Last Six:

Last Game: Viborg 0-3 West Ham
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Wolverhampton Wanderers	3	-2	1
19	Leicester City	4	-4	1
20	West Ham United	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
36.96% ( -0.08)	27.85% ( 0.02)	35.2% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.24% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.31% (

-0.05)

57.69% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56% (

-0.04)

78.45% (

0.04)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

-0.07)

29.99% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

-0.09)

66.11% (

0.09)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

0.01)

31.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

0.02)

67.42% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 36.96%

West Ham United 35.2%

Draw 27.84%

Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.96%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.2%