Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Leicester City	2	-2	1
16	Crystal Palace	2	-2	1
17	Southampton	2	-3	1

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Everton
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	4
9	Aston Villa	2	-1	3
10	Nottingham Forest	2	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
32.52% ( -0.4)	26.68% ( 0.12)	40.8% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

-0.59)

53.54% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

-0.5)

75.05% (

0.5)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24% (

-0.56)

30.76% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97% (

-0.67)

67.02% (

0.67)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.12)

25.82% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.17)

60.78% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 32.52%

Aston Villa 40.8%

Draw 26.67%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.52%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.8%