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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Aston Villa

Both sides head into this fixture full of confidence after their respective performances last time out. However, we feel that these are two evenly-matched sides, and a low-scoring draw in a competitive fixture feels like the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
32.52% (-0.404 -0.4) 26.68% (0.124 0.12) 40.8% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.587 -0.59)53.54% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.498 -0.5)75.05% (0.495 0.5)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.563 -0.56)30.76% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.669 -0.67)67.02% (0.667 0.67)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.122 -0.12)25.82% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.166 -0.17)60.78% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 32.52%
    Aston Villa 40.8%
    Draw 26.67%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.8%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
52.4%
Draw
29.5%
Aston Villa
18.1%
288
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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