Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
0 - 2
Arsenal

Clyne (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinelli (20'), Guehi (85' og.)
Xhaka (44'), White (60')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-2 Montpellier
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Chelsea	0	0	0
7	Crystal Palace	0	0	0
8	Everton	0	0	0

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Sevilla
Saturday, July 30 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Arsenal
30.16% ( 0.11)	25.52% ( 0.23)	44.33% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4% (

-0.93)

49.6% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38% (

-0.84)

71.62% (

0.84)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

-0.39)

30.39% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41% (

-0.47)

66.59% (

0.47)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

-0.55)

22.33% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

-0.83)

55.81% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 30.16%

Arsenal 44.32%

Draw 25.51%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.16%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.32%