Manchester United logo
Friendlies
Jul 19, 2022 at 11.10am UK
Old Trafford
Crystal Palace logo

Man Utd
3 - 1
Crystal Palace

Martial (17'), Rashford (48'), Sancho (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ward (74')
Phillips (45+4'), Ayew (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's pre-season clash between Manchester United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in Tuesday's pre-season friendly with Crystal Palace.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
56.99% (0.252 0.25)22.3% (-0.423 -0.42)20.7% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 55.09% (1.658 1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (2.074 2.07)43.79% (-2.073 -2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (1.996 2)66.18% (-1.997 -2)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (0.80200000000001 0.8)15.14% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.27% (1.493 1.49)43.73% (-1.493 -1.49)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92% (1.352 1.35)35.08% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (1.392 1.39)71.83% (-1.391 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 56.98%
    Crystal Palace 20.7%
    Draw 22.3%
Manchester UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.64 -0.64)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.187 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.212 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.167 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.14 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.98%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.202 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.133 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.7%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Crystal Palace

Manchester United
88.7%
Draw
4.1%
Crystal Palace
7.2%
97
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 4pm
Crystal Palace
1-0
Man Utd
Zaha (37')
Hughes (43'), Edouard (63')

Mejbri (44'), Dalot (59'), Lindelof (84'), Fernandes (90')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Man Utd
1-0
Crystal Palace
Fred (77')
McTominay (81'), Lindelof (90+1')

Clyne (31'), Guehi (67')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Sep 19, 2020 5.30pm
Man Utd
1-3
Crystal Palace
Van de Beek (80')
Fosu-Mensah (58'), Maguire (64')
Townsend (7'), Zaha (74' pen., 85')
Ward (55')