Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.