Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Arsenal
30.78% ( 1.11)	24.09% ( -0.14)	45.13% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 59.22% (

1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57% (

1.22)

43% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

1.2)

65.4% (

-1.2)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

1.34)

26.67% (

-1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

1.75)

61.91% (

-1.75)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

0.09)

19.24% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.04% (

0.14)

50.96% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 30.78%

Arsenal 45.13%

Draw 24.08%

Orlando City	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.78%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.13%