We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Orlando City
Overall, Atlanta possesses more quality than Orlando, but the Lions have done well to neutralize opposing attacks, so we expect them to show discipline and structure against an aggressive Five Stripes team, who have not proven that they can remain consistent from one match to another.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.