Major League Soccer

Jul 3, 2022 at 10pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
2 - 2
Atlanta

Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Columbus Crew	16	2	21
8	Atlanta United	16	3	19
9	Toronto	18	-10	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
62.62% ( 0.29)	20.12% ( -0.02)	17.25% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.77% (

-0.36)

39.22% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44% (

-0.38)

61.55% (

0.38)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01% (

-0.03)

11.98% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.59% (

-0.07)

37.4% (

0.07)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

-0.52)

36.07% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

-0.53)

72.85% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 62.62%

Atlanta United 17.25%

Draw 20.12%

New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.93% Total : 62.62%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.12%	1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 17.25%