Major League Soccer

Jul 1, 2022 at 1am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Atlanta

Morgan (82' pen., 83' pen.), Ngoma (89')
Casseres Jr (28'), Long (42'), Edwards (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (75')
Sejdic (22'), Ibarra (45+3'), Rios Novo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	CF Montreal	17	4	27
3	New York Red Bulls	17	5	26
4	New England Revolution	17	1	24

Atlanta United

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Columbus Crew	16	2	21
8	Atlanta United	15	4	19
9	Toronto	17	-8	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Atlanta United
48.85% ( -0.76)	26.11% ( 0.39)	25.04% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 48.57% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.01% (

-1.2)

54.99% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.73% (

-1)

76.26% (

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

-0.83)

22.54% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.87% (

-1.26)

56.13% (

1.26)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.71% (

-0.34)

37.29% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.93% (

-0.33)

74.07% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 48.85%

Atlanta United 25.04%

Draw 26.11%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.85%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.04%