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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jul 1, 2022 at 1am UK
Red Bull Arena
Atlanta United

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Atlanta

Morgan (83' pen.), Ngoma (89')
Casseres Jr (28'), Long (42'), Edwards (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (75')
Sejdic (22'), Ibarra (45+3'), Rios Novo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta United

In four previous visits to Red Bull Arena in MLS play, the Five Stripes have never found the back of the net, and even though they should have the ball for long stretches of this encounter, we do not see them finding a way through a backline, who have looked a lot stingier at home in recent games. Combine that with the fact that the Red Bulls have scored three goals or more in four of their last five home contests, and you see why it might be difficult for Atlanta to contain a revitalized New York team in their own backyard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawAtlanta United
48.85% (-0.756 -0.76) 26.11% (0.387 0.39) 25.04% (0.368 0.37)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.787 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-1.197 -1.2)54.99% (1.196 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-0.998 -1)76.26% (0.997 1)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.833 -0.83)22.54% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-1.255 -1.26)56.13% (1.255 1.26)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (-0.336 -0.34)37.29% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.332 -0.33)74.07% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 48.85%
    Atlanta United 25.04%
    Draw 26.11%
New York Red BullsDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 12.52% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.305 0.31)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.04%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Atlanta

New York Red Bulls
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Atlanta United
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Atlanta

Klimala (52'), Nealis (90+1')

Araujo (11'), Walkes (90+1')
Jun 27, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
NY Red Bulls

Sosa (65'), Franco (90+5')

Edwards (22'), Davis (69'), Tolkin (85'), Tarek (86')
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
Aug 30, 2020 11.30pm
Jul 12, 2020 1.45am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati833287112
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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