Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 11 | 30 |
2 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 |
3 | Dallas | 16 | 9 | 26 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 9 | 26 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 16 | 7 | 26 |
3 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.95% ( 0.13) | 23.4% ( -0.1) | 25.64% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.67% ( 0.44) | 43.33% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.27% ( 0.43) | 65.73% ( -0.43) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0.21) | 17.08% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.73% ( 0.37) | 47.26% ( -0.37) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( 0.21) | 30.48% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( 0.24) | 66.7% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.98% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |