Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
7 | FC Cincinnati | 16 | 2 | 23 |
8 | Atlanta United | 15 | 4 | 19 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 10 | 29 |
2 | New York City FC | 15 | 15 | 27 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 5 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
27.2% ( 1.66) | 23.69% ( 0.25) | 49.11% ( -1.91) |
Both teams to score 58.11% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.64% ( 0.21) | 43.36% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.24% ( 0.21) | 65.76% ( -0.21) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( 1.38) | 29.31% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% ( 1.66) | 65.28% ( -1.66) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.21% ( -0.64) | 17.79% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.5% ( -1.11) | 48.5% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.33% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.71% Total : 49.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |