Major League Soccer

Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
0 - 3
Austin

Araujo (25')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Felipe (9'), Finlay (17'), Driussi (57')
Gallagher (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:

Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Columbus Crew	17	2	22
8	Atlanta United	17	3	20
9	Toronto	18	-10	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Austin FC
60.74% ( 0.01)	21.4% ( -0)	17.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.13% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.03% (

-0)

43.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64%

66.35% (

-0)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98% (

14.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.45% (

0.01)

41.55% (

-0.01)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.78% (

-0.01)

38.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.02% (

-0.01)

74.97% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 60.74%

Austin FC 17.86%

Draw 21.39%

Atlanta United	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.87% Total : 60.74%	1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.39%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 17.86%