Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.