| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 |
| 3 | Austin FC | 16 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Dallas | 17 | 8 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Austin FC |
| 47.58% ( | 25.72% ( | 26.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( | 52.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( | 74.01% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( | 21.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( | 55.3% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( | 34.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( | 71.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.7% |