Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.