Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC have struggled to get going away from home, where they hold the conference's worst record with two points from eight games. Montreal were narrowly beaten in their last league outings but we are backing them to bounce back this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for CF Montreal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.
Result |
CF Montreal | Draw | Charlotte FC |
58.1% ( -0.17) | 22.02% ( 0.01) | 19.88% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.27) |
56.32% ( 0.22) | 43.68% ( -0.21) |
33.93% ( 0.21) | 66.07% ( -0.21) |
85.25% ( 0.02) | 14.75% ( -0.01) |