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Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Charlotte FC

Montreal
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Quioto (6'), Choiniere (47')
Torres (55'), Camacho (70'), Waterman (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Corujo (9')
Corujo (85'), Hegardt (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for CF Montreal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.

Result
CF MontrealDrawCharlotte FC
58.1% (-0.172 -0.17)22.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.88% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.69% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (0.217 0.22)43.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (0.213 0.21)66.07% (-0.209 -0.21)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.75% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03)42.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (0.301 0.3)35.85% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (0.308 0.31)72.62% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 58.1%
    Charlotte FC 19.88%
    Draw 22.02%
CF MontrealDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Montreal vs Charlotte FC

CF Montreal
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
Charlotte FC
6.3%
16
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
0-2
Montreal

Lindsey (53'), Alcivar (86'), Jozwiak (90+2')
Mihailovic (45'), Johnston (67')
Torres (45+6'), Mihailovic (56')