Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.