MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 08:39:07| >> :600:4721123:4721123:
Bolton logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Salford City

Bolton
5 - 1
Salford City

Kachunga (31'), Dadi Bodvarsson (42'), Sadlier (61'), Bradley (77'), Afolayan (86')
Thomason (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thomas-Asante (23')
Vassell (70'), Watson (74'), Bolton (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Salford City

Bolton have been a real force to reckon with on their own patch and boast a more experienced squad at this level. We fancy them to just about get the job done and progress into the next round of the EFL Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawSalford City
37.62% (-0.989 -0.99) 25.55% (0.507 0.51) 36.83% (0.484 0.48)
Both teams to score 55.81% (-1.768 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (-2.286 -2.29)48.16% (2.287 2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-2.13 -2.13)70.32% (2.132 2.13)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-1.563 -1.56)25.08% (1.564 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-2.213 -2.21)59.76% (2.215 2.22)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-0.78700000000001 -0.79)25.51% (0.79 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.64% (-1.091 -1.09)60.36% (1.093 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.62%
    Salford City 36.83%
    Draw 25.54%
Bolton WanderersDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.435 0.44)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.62%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.584 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.616 0.62)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.293 0.29)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Bolton vs Salford City

Bolton Wanderers
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Salford City
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Salford City
0-1
Bolton

Clarke (23'), Burgess (80'), Hunter (87')
Isgrove (23')
Lee (29'), Williams (45'), Thomason (76')
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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