EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
5 - 1
Salford City

Kachunga (31'), Dadi Bodvarsson (42'), Sadlier (61'), Bradley (77'), Afolayan (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Thomas-Asante (23')
Vassell (70'), Watson (74'), Bolton (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Exeter City	2	4	4
3	Bolton Wanderers	2	3	4
4	Sheffield Wednesday	2	1	4

Salford City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	AFC Wimbledon	2	2	4
7	Salford City	2	2	4
8	Northampton Town	2	1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Salford City
37.62% ( -0.99)	25.55% ( 0.51)	36.83% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 55.81% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

-2.29)

48.16% (

2.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-2.13)

70.32% (

2.13)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

-1.56)

25.08% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

-2.21)

59.76% (

2.22)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

-0.79)

25.51% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.64% (

-1.09)

60.36% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 37.62%

Salford City 36.83%

Draw 25.54%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.62%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.83%