EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Elias Kachunga 31' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 42' goal
  • Kieran Sadlier 61' goal
  • Conor Bradley 77' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 86' goal
  • George Thomason 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Brandon Thomas-Asante 23'
  • yellowcard Theo Vassell 70'
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 74'
  • yellowcard Luke Bolton 82'

Bolton Wanderers vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Salford City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 37.62% (-0.99)
Draw 25.55% (+0.51)
Salford City 36.83% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.81% (-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.83% (-2.29)
Under 2.5 48.16% (+2.29)
Over 3.5 29.68% (-2.13)
Under 3.5 70.32% (+2.14)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 74.92% (-1.57)
Under 0.5 25.08% (+1.57)
Over 1.5 40.23% (-2.22)
Under 1.5 59.76% (+2.22)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 74.49% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 25.51% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 39.64% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 60.36% (+1.10)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 37.62%
Draw 25.54%
Salford City 36.83%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.85% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 6.12% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.26)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.24)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 37.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 6.4% (+0.59)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
Salford City
0-1 @ 8.74% (+0.62)
1-2 @ 8.26% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.72% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 36.83%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Tom Clarke 23' yellowcard
  • Luke Burgess 80' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hunter 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lloyd Isgrove 23'
  • yellowcard Kieran Lee 29'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 45'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 76'
League Two Gameweek 12
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Eoin Doyle 23' goal
  • Jordan Turnbull 67' goal