Home > Football > League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Oxford United | 46 | 23 | 76 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 59.61% | 22.61% | 17.78% |
| Both teams to score 49.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% | 49.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% | 71.32% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% | 16.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% | 41.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.06% | 77.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.04% Total : 59.6% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.9% 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.78% |