Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.