League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
1 - 2
Bolton

Odubeko (77')
Galbraith (84'), Williams (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (47'), Sadlier (78')
Williams (7'), Thomason (26'), Bakayoko (29'), Johnston (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Doncaster Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37

Bolton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Oxford United	46	23	76
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73
10	Portsmouth	46	17	73

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
23.31%	25.39%	51.3%

Both teams to score 48.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.35%

53.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86%

75.14%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89%

38.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13%

74.87%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07%

20.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.34%

53.66%

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 23.31%

Bolton Wanderers 51.29%

Draw 25.38%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.69% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.31%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 12.47% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-3 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.29%