League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 43'

Bolton Wanderers vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2022 8.00pm
Bolton 1 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Oladapo Afolayan

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth 2 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 53.74%
Draw 24.07%
Plymouth Argyle 22.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.42%
Under 2.5 49.57%
Over 3.5 28.39%
Under 3.5 71.6%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 81.63%
Under 0.5 18.37%
Over 1.5 50.5%
Under 1.5 49.49%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 63.09%
Under 0.5 36.91%
Over 1.5 26.3%
Under 1.5 73.69%

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 53.73%
Draw 24.07%
Plymouth Argyle 22.18%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.07%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.18%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Brendan Galloway 6' goal
  • Conor Grant 15' goal
  • Brendan Galloway 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Amadou Bakayoko 12'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 50'
  • yellowcard Kieran Lee 54'
FA Cup Gameweek 1
Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium (Bolton)
  • Luke Murphy 31' yellowcard
  • goal Callum McFadzean 11'