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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Reebok Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bolton
0 - 1
Plymouth

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.74%24.07%22.18%
Both teams to score 51.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42%49.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39%71.6%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.49%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09%36.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3%73.69%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.73%
    Plymouth Argyle 22.18%
    Draw 24.07%
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.18%

How you voted: Bolton vs Plymouth

Bolton Wanderers
15.4%
Draw
7.7%
Plymouth Argyle
76.9%
13
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Plymouth
3-0
Bolton
Galloway (6'), Grant (15'), Broom (90+4')
Galloway (90+1')

Bakayoko (12'), Afolayan (50'), Lee (54')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm