Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.