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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 32.14% | 25.96% | 41.9% |
| Both teams to score 53.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% | 72.63% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.65% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% | 23.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% | 58.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.9% |