Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.