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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 60.4% | 21.61% | 18% |
| Both teams to score 52.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% | 44.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% | 67.04% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% | 14.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% | 42.21% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% | 38.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% | 75.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 6.43% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.27% 5-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.73% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.27% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.25% Total : 18% |