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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Sunderland |
| 31.57% | 24.73% | 43.7% |
| Both teams to score 57.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% | 45.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% | 20.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% | 53.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% 1-0 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.7% |