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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
| 25.51% | 24.52% | 49.97% |
| Both teams to score 53.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% | 48.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% | 70.44% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% | 33.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% | 69.85% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% | 19.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% | 51.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.08% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.51% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 8.68% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.75% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.03% Total : 49.97% |