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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
25.51% | 24.52% | 49.97% |
Both teams to score 53.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.71% | 48.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.56% | 70.44% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% | 33.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% | 69.85% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% | 19.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% | 51.13% |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 7.08% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.51% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 8.68% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.75% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.03% Total : 49.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 39 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 31 | 83 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 78 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 74 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 74 | 46 | 28 | 71 |
5 | Barnsley | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 71 |
6 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 62 | 52 | 10 | 63 |
7 | Stevenage | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 62 |
8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 61 |
9 | Blackpool | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 60 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 58 |
11 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 53 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 50 |
13 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 50 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 50 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 47 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 45 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 13 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 44 |
18 | Reading | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 42 |
19 | Burton Albion | 39 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 39 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 39 |
21 | Port Vale | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 36 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 35 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 24 |
> League One Full Table |