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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 23.46% | 23.11% | 53.43% |
| Both teams to score 56.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% | 44.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% | 66.51% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% | 16.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.81% | 46.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 6.07% 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.43% |