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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 52.43% | 24.2% | 23.37% |
| Both teams to score 52.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% | 48.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% | 70.98% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% | 18.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% | 49.9% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% | 35.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% | 72.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.24% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.37% |