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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
Bolton logo

Rotherham
2 - 1
Bolton

Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
55.2%23.2%21.6%
Both teams to score 53.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43%46.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16%68.84%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22%35.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45%72.55%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 55.2%
    Bolton Wanderers 21.6%
    Draw 23.2%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.57%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 0.94%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.2%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 6.15%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.6%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Bolton

Rotherham United
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Bolton Wanderers
4.3%
23
rhs 2.0


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