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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 55.2% | 23.2% | 21.6% |
| Both teams to score 53.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% | 46.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% | 68.84% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% | 16.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.36% | 46.64% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% | 35.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% | 72.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.57% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 0.94% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.2% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.6% |