Rotherham

2 - 1

Bolton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.