League One Gameweek 21
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Freddie Ladapo 39' goal
  • Mickel Miller 45' goal
  • Dan Barlaser 59' goal
  • Dan Barlaser 81' goal
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 89' goal
  • goal Olly Lee 5'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jackson 38'
  • redcard Ryan Jackson 71'

Rotherham United vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Michael Smith

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
Gillingham 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Vadaine Oliver

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result

Rotherham United 66.22%
Draw 20.57%
Gillingham 13.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

45%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.79%
Under 2.5 49.21%
Over 3.5 28.73%
Under 3.5 71.27%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 85.99%
Under 0.5 14.01%
Over 1.5 58.46%
Under 1.5 41.54%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 52.33%
Under 0.5 47.68%
Over 1.5 17.01%
Under 1.5 82.99%

Score analysis

Rotherham United 66.22%
Draw 20.57%
Gillingham 13.21%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 13.12%
2-0 @ 12.9%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 6.26%
4-0 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.32%
5-0 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 66.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72%
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.57%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 4.95%
1-2 @ 3.6%
0-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.21%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 40
Mar 29, 2020 1.00pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 2, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Michael Smith 19'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lindsay 28'
  • goal Matt Crooks 43'
  • goal Matt Crooks 88'
League One
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Will Vaulks 20'
  • yellowcard Michael Smith 45'
  • yellowcard Richie Towell 64'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 87'
League One
Oct 28, 2017 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kieffer Moore 57' goal
  • Richard Wood 82' yellowcard
  • Joe Mattock 85' yellowcard
  • Joe Mattock 85' redcard
  • goal Josh Parker 2'
  • goal Tom Eaves 48'
  • goal Josh Parker 87'
  • yellowcard Connor Ogilvie 90'
League One
Apr 5, 2014 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 30' goal
  • Myles Weston 57' goal
  • Bradley Dack 84' goal
  • Adam Barrett 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Agard 2'
  • goal Tom Hitchcock 69'
  • goal Tom Hitchcock 86'
  • goal Tom Hitchcock 90'
League One
Nov 30, 2013 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Nouha Dicko 9' goal
  • Kieran Agard 23' goal
  • Ben Pringle 35' goal
  • James Tavernier 76' goal
  • goal Cody McDonald 66'