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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Gillingham |
66.22% | 20.57% | 13.21% |
Both teams to score 45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.79% | 49.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% | 71.27% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% | 14.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% | 41.54% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.33% | 47.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.01% | 82.99% |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 66.22% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.95% 1-2 @ 3.6% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.83% Total : 13.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |