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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 28.72% | 26.33% | 44.95% |
| Both teams to score 50.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% | 53.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% | 75.09% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% | 33.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% | 70.14% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% | 23.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% | 57.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.72% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.95% |