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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 34.36% | 27.06% | 38.58% |
| Both teams to score 50.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% | 54.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% | 76.06% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% | 27.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% | 63.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.57% |