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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 46.35% | 27.84% | 25.8% |
| Both teams to score 44.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.43% | 60.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.33% | 80.67% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% | 26.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% | 61.27% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% | 39.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.62% | 76.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.98% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.81% |