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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 28.7% | 26.64% | 44.66% |
| Both teams to score 49.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% | 54.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% | 76.09% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% | 34.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% | 70.84% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% | 24.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% | 58.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.66% |