League One Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Freddie Ladapo 24' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 48' goal
  • Dan Barlaser 84' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 44'
  • yellowcard Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 90'+3'

Rotherham United vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Rotherham 5 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Michael Smith

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Wycombe 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Daniel Jebbison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result

Rotherham United 60.61%
Draw 22.04%
Burton Albion 17.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.04%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.42%
Under 2.5 47.58%
Over 3.5 30.21%
Under 3.5 69.78%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 84.76%
Under 0.5 15.24%
Over 1.5 56.08%
Under 1.5 43.92%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 59.04%
Under 0.5 40.96%
Over 1.5 22.48%
Under 1.5 77.52%

Score analysis

Rotherham United 60.6%
Draw 22.04%
Burton Albion 17.35%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 6.18%
4-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.23%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 60.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.04%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 17.35%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 31
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Smith 9' goal
  • Michael Smith 46' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 71' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 93' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 7'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sarkic 32'
  • goal Oliver Sarkic 47'
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Kieran O'Hara 24' (OG)
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 84'
Championship
Dec 29, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Lee Frecklington 33' yellowcard
  • Tom Adeyemi 45' goal
  • Danny Ward 88' yellowcard
  • Darnell Fisher 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 13'
  • goal Chris O'Grady 36'
  • goal Jackson Irvine 41'
  • yellowcard Matthew Palmer 75'
  • yellowcard Damian McCrory 77'
  • yellowcard Shaun Barker 91'
Championship
Dec 3, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jackson Irvine 15' goal
  • Tom Naylor 59' yellowcard
  • Matthew Palmer 62' goal
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 70'
  • goal Tom Adeyemi 94'
League Two
Feb 9, 2013 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Billy Kee 36' goal
  • Billy Kee 55' goal
  • yellowcard David Noble 41'
  • redcard David Noble 45'
  • redcard Michael O'Connor 87'
League Two
Aug 18, 2012 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Daniel Nardiello 5' goal
  • Kayode Odejayi 11' goal
  • Michael O'Connor 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Pringle 75' goal
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 49'
  • yellowcard Lee Bell 58'
  • redcard Lee Bell 62'