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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 60.61% | 22.04% | 17.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% | 47.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% | 69.78% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% | 15.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.08% | 43.92% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.04% | 40.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.48% | 77.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.31% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.57% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.35% |